Guide
Belmont Stakes Betting
Belmont Stakes betting favors horses sired by Grade 1-winning stallions, 84% of winners were sired by stallions with this pedigree. But as the Belmont was shortened to 1 ¼ miles, this trend could weaken.
On this page · 4 sections
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Ranked by odds.ph · updated
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Speed, the Preakness trap and the gate
Tactical early speed tends to perform best in the 16-horse field at Saratoga. However, horses beaten in the Preakness Stakes — which haven't won since Victory Gallop in 1998 — rarely bounce back. Meanwhile, post position No. 3 has produced 16 winners, with the most recent win by Arcangelo in 2023. The New York Racing Association shifted to the Saratoga Race Course for the 158th edition won by Golden Tempo.
Favorites, longshots and graded winners
Betting favorites have struggled, winning with only a 23% win rate over the last 30 editions. Double-digit longshots have won 40% of Belmont editions during the same timeframe versus 7 favorites. Proven graded stakes winners have dominated recent years, accounting for 92% of the last 12 Belmont Stakes. Horses went straight from the Kentucky Derby to the Belmont without a race in between in 12 of the past 25 editions, with 16 Derby starter wins overall.
1 000 PHP on the favorite in 30 editions
| Favorite price | Returned (PHP) | Profit or loss |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 21 000 | -30% |
| 5-2 | 24 500 | -18.3% |
| 3-1 | 28 000 | -6.7% |
| 7-2 | 31 500 | +5% |
| 4-1 | 35 000 | +16.7% |
Example. 30 000 PHP staked, 7 winning favorites, the same price every time. Break-even is 3.29-1.