Wimbledon is the oldest and most prestigious tennis event in the world. It is played on outdoor grass courts at the All England Club in Wimbledon, London and was conceived and inaugurated in 1877.
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Understanding Wimbledon Betting
Days after Wimbledon has concluded, outright tournament odds will be available for the following year’s event. Finalists and past winners will be very much at the forefront.
These odds will change slightly due to results at the Australian Open and French Open, but the greatest activity will be in the short grass-court season in the weeks leading up to Wimbledon. The results of Wimbledon will slightly effect the odds on the year's US Open.
Queen’s Club in West London hosts the traditional warm-up event for the men a fortnight before although some players go elsewhere, such as Halle in Germany, the same week. Both are ATP 500 tournaments.
For the women, the two main warm-up events are both in England. There is a WTA Premier event at Edgbaston, Birmingham two weeks before Wimbledon with another at Eastbourne a week later.
Factors to Consider When Betting on Wimbledon
The big servers still get ahead at Wimbledon on the quick grass courts, even though the classic serve-and-volley method is rarely used nowadays. Roger Federer is still the holder of the record for the most wins in the tournament in men’s singles (8), and Novak Djokovic has made his mark as one of the best players in the history of the tournament with 7 Wimbledon titles.
The recent times have seen more baseliners in the tournament, namely Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, who have shown that it is possible to win on grass without a good service but with good movement, strong strokes, and the ability to play both at the net and from the baseline.
The women’s game has undergone similar changes. The record of Martina Navratilova for 9 titles at Wimbledon can still be taken as the standard, but the modern players usually win matches from the baseline rather than through their serve-and-volley techniques.
Serena Williams has won seven crowns at Wimbledon, whilst the young players such as Elena Rybakina, Markéta Vondroušová, Barbora Krejčíková, and Linda Nosková have proved that the real secret of success on grass are strong strokes and great movements, which make it possible to win on the court today.
Betting on Grass-Court Tennis
In the past, the grass was the quickest of all surfaces with the ball keeping low compared to other surfaces. Serve-and-volleyers enjoyed the most success and short rallies were the norm. But seven-time men’s champion Pete Sampras’s dominance at the end of the century led the powers that be to make changes to extend the length of rallies.
First, a heavier, bigger ball was brought in to slow down play. And at Wimbledon, the old grass (70 percent rye grass, 30 percent red fescue) mix was replaced by 100 percent ryegrass which is harder but also makes the ball bounce slightly higher.
While the bounce is still lower than anywhere else, the court speed is nowhere near as fast as in the past. It is now similar to that of a medium-fast hard court and there is evidence to suggest that the Australian Open has actually played quicker in recent years.
With 128 players in the main draw, there is a truckload of markets to get stuck into. Popular bets include which player will win their quarter of the draw, odds on a player to reach the final, and naming the two finalists.
Wimbledon Betting Tips & Strategy
Back Big Servers
- It might be slower and bouncier these days but grass is still the hardest surface to break serve on. Fast, skidding deliveries are almost impossible to return so a big serve is still a potent weapon at Wimbledon. And if you don’t lose your serve, the worst you can do in a set is go to a tiebreak.
- Sportsbooks will have cottoned on to most of the big servers but keep an eye out for those players who hold serve regularly particularly during the grass-court season.
- Betting on the likelihood of a tiebreak may be worthwhile although, again, the sportsbooks may offer prohibitive odds if there are two serving behemoths up against each other. Backing a big-serving underdog to win a set 7-6 can also be profitable.
Grass Suits Some Players Better
- While grass is now a surface for almost all types of players, there are some who have never performed well on it. Even those who do, starting with 1966 Wimbledon champion Manuel Santana, have uttered variations of “Grass is just for cows.”
- A good strategy is to look out for players who have struggled on grass in the past. With the grass-court season now just three or four weeks long, some players may not even bother with a warm-up on the surface ahead of Wimbledon. Find them and oppose them.
Betting In-Play on Tennis
- In-play betting adds an extra dimension to tennis. If a player is dominating on serve, you can bet on them to keep that going in subsequent games and sets. Similarly, if a returner starts to read the serve well, you can bet accordingly.
- The same goes for outright betting. If you like the look of a certain player, you can back them to go far in the tournament with some bookies even offering outright odds while matches are in progress.
Popular Wimbledon Betting Choices
- Outright Winner Betting - M/F Singles | Checking the Wimbledon betting odds on the men’s or women’s singles and placing a bet on the outright winner is a standard market for all PH bookmakers that cover Wimbledon.
- Match Betting | This is the most popular way to bet on tennis. Pick a specific match and wager as to who will win (or lose). One important thing to note for this bet is the player’s history with playing on grass.
- Correct Score Betting | Betting on the Correct Score in a Wimbledon match is always tough. When playing on grass, sets always tend to be closer. There is no tried and tested formula for Correct Score betting, but it’s a fun bet to go for if you think you’ve got a hunch.
- Set Betting | If you think you can predict the outright winner of a match then set betting might be of interest to you to take on as a side bet. If you think a player will win with ease, you might pick a 3-0 straight-sets victory, whereas you might pick a 3-2 victory for a player if they are closely matched with their opponent.
